IS Built up Arsenal After ‘Red Flags’ Ignored: Study

Islamic State jihadists were able to build up a major arsenal of explosives, weapons, and drones through a sophisticated procurement process that saw “red flags” ignored by governments and suppliers, a monitoring group said on Tuesday.

The Conflict Armament Research (CAR) group said in a study that IS was able to build up a store of material for a weapons production program in Iraq and Syria from 2015-2019 via individuals and companies in southern Turkey and also elsewhere.

IS was ousted last year from its former strongholds in Iraq and Syria — where it had wanted to build an extremist so-called caliphate — but experts warned that the know-how and connections in its supply network have not gone away.

#ISIS released images of the use of a 60mm mortar (Yugo/Serbian M57 imo) against claimed Federal Police houses.

The foremost 60mm mortar bomb appears to be Pakistani HE, which may be surprising but is not super unusual (Been seen since at least 2016-2017 in #Iraq) pic.twitter.com/ejlzYIE1qV

— Cᴀʟɪʙʀᴇ Oʙsᴄᴜʀᴀ 🌬️ (@CalibreObscura) December 6, 2020

IS “procured key commodities through groups of linked, family-owned companies and individuals located near key border crossings into IS-held territory,” CAR said, adding these groups were centered around the towns of Siverek and Akcakale in southern Turkey.

The CAR emphasized there was no evidence that these companies were “witting accomplices” to IS procurement efforts or guilty of any wrongdoing.

“They nonetheless acted as key junction points within the supply chains that provisioned IS forces,” it said.

They are based around two extended family groups in the area, it said.

It said that purchases of bulk explosive precursors and electronic items through this network had unusual features that should have raised “red flags.”

Companies made large purchases of products that were “incongruent” with their business activities, it said, pointing to how a small mobile phone shop purchased six tonnes of aluminium paste from a large chemical distributor.

‘Might Have Neen Disrupted’

Mike Lewis, co-author of the report, said the findings show how “surprisingly fragile” the procurement network was, relying on a small number of key individuals and businesses.

“With stronger due diligence, much of this trade might have been disrupted,” he said.

Namir Shabibi, CAR’s Head of Iraq Operations, warned that although IS forces may no longer hold territory, remaining cells have become increasingly active in the past year.

“Preventing their procurement efforts by spotting the kinds of red flags detailed in this report remains important for countering the group’s resurgence,” he said.

The report said that overall more than 50 companies, in over 20 countries, produced or distributed goods that IS forces subsequently used to make IEDs, drones, and improvised weapon systems.

As well as Syria and Turkey, countries from where materials were obtained included Britain, Denmark, and Spain.

“Goods moved remarkably rapidly through IS forces’ supply chains,” the report commented.

The report also said that from at least 2015, IS technicians also sought to build sophisticated drones powered by “pulsejet” engines by purchasing technical plans.

Sam Heller, an independent analyst and advisor to the International Crisis Group (ICG), said a video posted by IS at the end of last year showing its equipment indicated it had access to relatively few resources.

“So much of it seems inexpensive and relatively easily available which is key to the sustainability of the type of insurgency,” he said.

A prominent Twitter commentator on weapons, who goes by the name of Calibre Obscura (@CalibreObscura), told AFP that despite the losses sustained by IS, “knowledge will not have been lost, it will be retained.”

If IS is in a position to use the procurement system again, “it will be much easier for them to restart that,” said the commentator.